Pre-tourney Rankings
Ivy League
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
41 Harvard 100.0%   12   25 - 4 13 - 1 25 - 4 13 - 1 +10.6      +4.3 69 +6.2 39 66.1 217 +11.7 36 +13.4 1
103 Princeton 0.0%   19 - 8 8 - 6 19 - 8 8 - 6 +4.2      +1.6 135 +2.6 100 63.4 287 +4.7 105 +0.5 4
134 Columbia 0.0%   18 - 12 8 - 6 18 - 12 8 - 6 +2.2      +0.8 153 +1.3 135 58.6 341 +1.7 141 +0.9 3
162 Brown 0.0%   14 - 13 7 - 7 14 - 13 7 - 7 +0.3      -2.8 250 +3.1 93 75.9 31 -1.9 192 -0.9 5
175 Yale 0.0%   14 - 13 9 - 5 14 - 13 9 - 5 -0.6      -2.4 238 +1.8 119 65.6 233 +0.6 156 +3.6 2
229 Dartmouth 0.0%   10 - 16 5 - 9 10 - 16 5 - 9 -4.0      -0.9 195 -3.1 253 62.8 291 -5.7 258 -4.3 7
260 Penn 0.0%   8 - 20 5 - 9 8 - 20 5 - 9 -5.5      -4.0 274 -1.4 213 75.7 34 -6.0 265 -4.1 6
334 Cornell 0.0%   1 - 26 1 - 13 1 - 26 1 - 13 -13.3      -2.5 241 -10.7 350 66.2 215 -21.3 350 -14.6 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Harvard 1.0 100.0
Princeton 3.0 100.0
Columbia 3.0 100.0
Brown 5.0 100.0
Yale 2.0 100.0
Dartmouth 6.0 100.0
Penn 6.0 100.0
Cornell 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Harvard 13 - 1 100.0
Princeton 8 - 6 100.0
Columbia 8 - 6 100.0
Brown 7 - 7 100.0
Yale 9 - 5 100.0
Dartmouth 5 - 9 100.0
Penn 5 - 9 100.0
Cornell 1 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Harvard 100.0% 100.0
Princeton
Columbia
Brown
Yale
Dartmouth
Penn
Cornell


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Harvard 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.1 0.3 4.0 75.9 19.7 0.2
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Harvard 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 37.1% 13.8% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 37.1% 0.4 62.9 37.1
Sweet Sixteen 13.8% 0.1 86.2 13.8
Elite Eight 4.0% 0.0 96.0 4.0
Final Four 1.3% 0.0 98.7 1.3
Final Game 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Champion 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1